Aerospace Instrument-Making Annotation << Back METHOD CALCULATING THE PROBABILITY OVERCOMING AIR DEFENSE AIRCRAFT COMPLEX AT THE TEST STAGE S.V. Nikolaev The issues modeling the capabilities of aircraft systems to overcome enemy air defense by a single system and as part of a group are considered. A methodology for calculating the probability of overcoming air defense, a mathematical model and a computer program that can be used in the process of fl ight tests is proposed. The technique differs from the known ones by taking into account such factors that increase the likelihood of overcoming air defense, such as visibility, maneuverability, a mass of combat survivability, and interference. Some results of solving problems to overcome the air defense systems of a potential enemy are presented. Using the modeling method and a computer program that allows you to set the source data in a wide range of values, the author obtained new data on the object of study. Key words:flight tests, aviation complex, modeling, complex capabilities, efficiency. DOI: 10.25791/aviakosmos.11.2019.990 Contacts: - Pp. 32-41.